Going purely by the history between these two teams in ODIs, India have lost the match before it’s begun. Here’s why…

8226; India last beat Sri Lanka in a grand final way back in 1998-99 when, under Azhar, they won the Sri Lankan Independence Trophy

8226; Sri Lanka have not lost a grand final in any multi-nation event at home since then

8226; In day-night finals at home, Sri Lanka has the edge by virtue of winning two of the five ties, with two finals being washed out. India has won just once

8226; Out of 14 day-night matches at Premadasa, India have beaten Sri Lanka just 3 times

At Premadasa, Lanka have won 75 of their 118 encounters, a winning percentage of 70

However, India has an upper hand in Asia Cup Finals, having won three of the four encounters

— CN