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โ‡ฑ Francis Farrell


crimea: the war before the war

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Failed Ukrainian mechanized attack near Pokrovsk ignites online storm over assault regiment's tactics

by Francis Farrell
A mechanized attack by Ukraine's 425th Assault Regiment โ€” better known as Skelia โ€” outside Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast has sparked a wave of criticism from key Ukrainian figures online concerning the unnecessary loss of manpower in reckless assaults. On April 1, Serhii Sternenko โ€” one of the most prominent Ukrainian volunteers providing support to the military and recently named advisor to newly-appointed Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov โ€” spoke out about the failed attack the previous night, s
๐Ÿ‘ Soldier crouches near a "Vector" reconnaissance drone in the Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, on Sept. 11, 2025.

How Ukraine is 'systematically' destroying Russia's air defenses

Hundreds of kilometers inside Russia, oil refineries burst into flames, and the sky above airfields and weapons factories is filled with thick black smoke. These scenes, increasingly frequent in videos related by the Ukrainian military over the last several months,  are the visible results of an expanding Ukrainian deep-strike campaign. Its objective: hit critical military and industrial infrastructure far inside Russian territory, bringing the war directly onto its soil. The secret behind the
๐Ÿ‘ President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Oct. 13, 2025.

The trade-off Ukraine won't make

U.S.-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have stalled as Kyiv refuses to cede territory in the country's east without a fight, a Kremlin demand that officials familiar with the matter say is not opposed by Washington. At the same time, President Volodymyr Zelensky faces scrutiny after offering differing assessments of U.S. readiness to provide security guarantees. Kyiv has insisted that credible security guarantees are necessary to prevent Russia from launching another invasion. Y
๐Ÿ‘ The 148th Artillery Brigade near Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, on Jan. 11, 2026.

Battlefield analysis: What Ukraineโ€™s recent front-line gains really mean

by Francis Farrell
Ukraine has survived its toughest winter yet during the full-scale war, but now it must face the spring. Across the front line, as the weather warms, the ground hardens, and spring foliage returns to the tree lines and forests of Ukraine's east, conditions for mounting assault operations improve in turn. In the spring campaign of 2026 โ€” the fifth of the full-scale war โ€” there are no more illusions, not in Ukraine nor in the international arena, that U.S.-mediated "peace negotiations" with Russ
๐Ÿ‘ Workers install anti-drone netting over a street in Kherson, Ukraine, on Nov. 21, 2025.

Inside Russia's everyday manhunt of Ukrainians in Kherson

by Francis Farrell
At the moment the grey mass of radio static gives way to a clear image on the drone detector screen, the hunter still seems deceptively far away. Looking down on the central neighbourhood of Kherson from a birdโ€™s-eye view, it remains unclear where the Russian drone is coming from or who it is stalking. Catching the analog radio signal of the first-person-view (FPV) droneโ€™s video transmitter, the detector shows exactly what the Russian pilot sees through his goggles as he flies from the occupi
๐Ÿ‘ Ukrainian mobile air defense during night patrol in Chernihiv Oblast, Ukraine, on Dec. 2, 2024.

Ukraine's experience priceless as Iran war sees long-range strike drones go global

by Francis Farrell
The Trump administration's move to launch a large-scale strike operation in Iran has seen state-on-state war return to the Middle East with a vengeance. Hours after the first U.S. and Israeli strikes began hitting the country on Feb. 28, Tehran โ€” despite its leadership being decapitated on the first day of the fighting โ€” retaliated with large-scale missile and drone attacks across the region, with a focus on U.S. military bases and embassies. On top of its arsenal of ballistic missiles, Iran's
๐Ÿ‘ Russia lost more territory than it gained in February.

Chart of the week: Russia lost more territory than it gained for the first time since 2023

Russia lost more territory than it gained in February for the first time since Ukraine's failed counteroffensive in 2023, according to independent Finnish open-source intelligence collective Black Bird Group. Russia lost 37 kmยฒ on balance last month, causing the total area of Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia to modestly drop to 118,917 kmยฒ, according to the groupโ€™s analysis. The independent assessment comes after Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi also claimed on March 2 that

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