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URL: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32164834/

⇱ How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic? - PubMed

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Figure
Illustrative simulations of a transmission model of COVID-19 A baseline simulation with case isolation only (red); a simulation with social distancing in place throughout the epidemic, flattening the curve (green), and a simulation with more effective social distancing in place for a limited period only, typically followed by a resurgent epidemic when social distancing is halted (blue). These are not quantitative predictions but robust qualitative illustrations for a range of model choices.

References

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    1. WHO Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation report—30. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/2... (accessed March 5, 2020).
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