Abstract
Background: Anticholinergic burden (AB) is linked to adverse health outcomes and mortality among older adults. Yet, the national trends in AB and its long-term mortality risk are not well-defined.
Methods: We analysed data from 16 188 older adults in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning 32 years. AB was assessed using the 2023 American Geriatrics Society Beers Criteria® and four validated scales (ARS, ADS, ACB and ACSBC). Age-standardised prevalence trends were examined using survey-weighted logistic regression. Mortality outcomes were ascertained through linkage to the National Death Index and analysed with Cox proportional hazards models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs).
Results: From 1988-94 to 2017-March 2020, the prevalence of any strong anticholinergic medication use and high AB (score ≥ 3) declined significantly across all scales (all PTrend < .05). During a median follow-up of 81 months, 9006 deaths (49.3%) occurred. After comprehensive adjustment for covariates, high AB was independently associated with elevated all-cause mortality (ADS: HRs 1.65, 95% CI 1.51-1.81; ACB: HRs 1.54, 95% CI 1.41-1.68), cardiovascular mortality (ADS: HRs 1.94, 95% CI 1.71-2.20; ACB: HRs 1.66, 95% CI 1.46-1.88) and cancer mortality (ADS: HRs 1.40, 95% CI 1.18-1.68; ACB: HRs 1.31, 95% CI 1.09-1.57).
Conclusions: While the prevalence of AB among US older adults has declined over the past three decades, high exposure remains a strong, independent predictor of all-cause, cardiovascular and cancer mortality. These findings highlight the ongoing need for safer prescribing and sustained deprescribing initiatives in geriatric care.
Keywords: anticholinergic burden; mortality; older adults; prevalence.
© The Author(s) 2026. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Geriatrics Society. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.
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- GCC(2023)084/Guizhou Provincial High Level Talent Project
- gzwkj2025-110/Science and Technology Fund Project of Guizhou Provincial Health Commission
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- (2022)-15/Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital Talent Fund
- ZK(2024)General 467/Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Program
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