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VOOZH | about |
JD, Duke Law School
MA, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
BA, Washington University
Chinese language studies, Capital Normal University, Beijing, China
Scholars
Senior Fellow
China, Taiwan, East Asia, US-China relations
Dan Blumenthal is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he focuses on East Asian security issues and Sino-American relations. Mr. Blumenthal has served in and advised the US government on China issues for more than a decade.
Before joining AEI, Mr. Blumenthal served as senior director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia at the US Department of Defense. He served as a commissioner on the congressionally mandated US-China Economic and Security Review Commission from 2006 to 2012, and he was vice chairman of the commission in 2007. He also served on the Academic Advisory Board of the congressional US-China Working Group.
Mr. Blumenthal is the author of “The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State” (AEI Press, November 2020) and coauthor of “An Awkward Embrace: The United States and China in the 21st Century” (AEI Press, November 2012).
He has testified before Congress and has been published in The Atlantic, Commentary, Foreign Policy, The Hill, Los Angeles Times, The National Interest, National Review, The New York Post, The New York Times, Newsweek, RealClearWorld, and The Wall Street Journal, among other outlets. His broadcast appearances include C-SPAN, Yahoo News, Bloomberg Radio, and many top-rated talk radio programs.
Mr. Blumenthal has a JD from Duke Law School, an MA from the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University, and a BA from Washington University in St. Louis. He also attended Capital Normal University in Beijing, China, where he focused on Chinese language studies.
JD, Duke Law School
MA, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
BA, Washington University
Chinese language studies, Capital Normal University, Beijing, China
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Frederick W. Kagan + Dan Blumenthal + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 3 Apr 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Alison O'Neil + et al. ON 27 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Amy Sinnenberg + et al. ON 25 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 22 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 18 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 13 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Frederick W. Kagan + Dan Blumenthal + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 3 Apr 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Alison O'Neil + et al. ON 27 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Amy Sinnenberg + et al. ON 25 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 22 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 18 Mar 26
Article
Institute for the Study of War
The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 13 Mar 26
Report
China may have already started wielding its growing nuclear power to transform the western Pacific into a Chinese lake and remake the world. But Washington still has an opportunity to reinforce its free-world alliance system, through which it defends an open international environment favorable to American interests.
BY Kyle Balzer + Dan Blumenthal ON 24 Jun 25
Report
American Enterprise Institute
A plausible pathway exists for the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to employ coercion on a mass scale to force the Republic of China government to accept Beijing’s demands without sparking a large regional war and without endangering the PRC’s global grand-strategic objectives.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Frederick W. Kagan + Jonathan Baumel + et al. ON 13 May 24
Report
American Enterprise Institute
The US has done little to blunt Chinese predation, indirectly supporting it with money and technology. If the most innovative American companies lose intellectual property and market share without consequence, China will control more sectors of the global economy.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Derek Scissors ON 8 Jun 23
Report
American Enterprise Institute
China seeks to gain full control of Taiwan through three distinct but interrelated campaigns: forceful persuasion, coercion, and compellence. American policy’s focus on compellence marginalizes strategies that counter China’s persuasion and coercion campaigns.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Frederick W. Kagan ON 13 Mar 23
Report
American Enterprise Institute
Greater output of final products does not improve supply-chain resilience. Manufacturing more with the same supply chains could even create more vulnerabilities. New policies must address full supply chains, not just the final stage.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Gregory Graff + Christian Curriden ON 20 Oct 22
Report
American Enterprise Institute
Once vaccination at home is well along, the Joe Biden administration can subsidize international distribution of American vaccines. In addition to humanitarian motives, there is also an important foreign policy opportunity.
BY Derek Scissors + Dan Blumenthal + Linda Zhang ON 18 Feb 21
Event
Join AEI’s Derek Scissors and Dan Blumenthal, Stephen Ezell of the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation, and Dean Cheng of the US Institute of Peace for a discussion moderated by the German Marshall Fund’s Bonnie S. Glaser on what Xi could feasibly pursue as his lasting legacy.
BY Derek Scissors + Dan Blumenthal ON 9 Oct 24
Event
AEI’s Dan Blumenthal will lead a discussion with Amb. Robert C. O’Brien, the 27th United States national security adviser to former President Donald Trump, on how the next president should shape US grand strategy to counter the expanding scope of challenges posed by an increasingly aggressive China.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Robert Doar ON 16 Sep 24
Event
AEI’s Dan Blumenthal and Frederick W. Kagan, who direct the AEI–Institute for the Study of War Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, will lead a panel on why the US and our allies must take seriously the threat of a coercion-based strategy toward Taiwan, as highlighted in their new report, From Coercion to Capitulation: How China Can Take Taiwan Without a War.
BY Dan Blumenthal + Frederick W. Kagan + Kimberly Kagan ON 8 May 24
Event
Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-OH) will lead a panel of experts to discuss how policymakers can combat the threats posed by these evolving technologies and the ways Congress could secure the AI and biotechnology fields.
BY Dan Blumenthal ON 29 Apr 24
Event
To launch the book, please join AEI’s Kori Schake with AEI scholars Michael Beckley, Dan Blumenthal, and Mackenzie Eaglen to discuss how the past year has shaped America and Taiwan’s ability to defend the island from Chinese subjugation and what is needed moving forward.
BY Kori Schake + Michael Beckley + Dan Blumenthal + et al. ON 25 Aug 23
Event
Join Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) and AEI’s Dan Blumenthal as they discuss Taiwan’s future, US-China competition, and American strategy for the Indo-Pacific.
BY Dan Blumenthal ON 1 Dec 22
Multimedia
Dan Blumenthal and Kyle Balzer, co-authors of The True Aims of China’s Nuclear Buildup for Foreign Affairs, join the show to discuss the geopolitical implications of China’s increasing and diversifying nuclear arsenal.
BY Kyle Balzer + Dan Blumenthal ON 24 Dec 24
Multimedia
Woodrow Wilson International Center
As Taiwan continues to dominate as the global leader in producing advanced semiconductors, the world literally cannot run without Taiwanese technology. At the same time, the geopolitical risks and pressures that Taipei face have only...
BY Dan Blumenthal ON 14 Mar 23
Podcast
Xi Jinping’s long-lasting, draconian zero-Covid policy has resulted in the largest protests in China in more than 30 years. Tens of thousands of demonstrators are testing the government’s “perfect” police state by actively calling for...
BY Marc A. Thiessen + Danielle Pletka + Dan Blumenthal ON 7 Dec 22
Podcast
Dan Blumenthal, author of the newly released “The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State” joined the show to explain the threat posed by a decaying but aggressive China.
BY Danielle Pletka + Marc A. Thiessen + Dan Blumenthal ON 9 Dec 20
Podcast
Dan Blumenthal, Director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, discusses his new book, The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State, on political commentator Matt Lewis’s podcast. Listen here.
BY Dan Blumenthal ON 14 Nov 20
Podcast
Was the COVID-19 virus produced in the US? Was it created by the US Army? So Moscow and Beijing would have you believe. Russia and China aggressively manipulate perceptions to achieve their own aims. Their...
BY Frederick W. Kagan + Dan Blumenthal + Zack Cooper ON 9 Jul 20