VOOZH about

URL: https://www.aei.org/profile/dan-blumenthal/

⇱ Dan Blumenthal | American Enterprise Institute - AEI


Experience

  • US Naval War College: John A. van Beuren Chair Distinguished Visiting Professor, 2014–present
  • Project 2049 Institute: Member, Board of Advisers, 2008–present
  • US-China Economic and Security Review Commission: Commissioner, 2006–12; Vice Chairman, 2007
  • Congressional US-China Working Group: Member, Academic Advisory Board, 2005–07
  • US Department of Defense: Senior Country Director for China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Mongolia, 2004; Country Director for China and Taiwan, 2002–04
  • Kelley Drye & Warren LLP: Associate, 2000–02
  • Washington Institute for Near East Policy: Researcher, 1994–96
Education

JD, Duke Law School
MA, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
BA, Washington University
Chinese language studies, Capital Normal University, Beijing, China

Scholars

Dan Blumenthal

Senior Fellow

Research Areas

China, Taiwan, East Asia, US-China relations

Contact

👁 Image
202-862-5861 👁 Image
Send Email 👁 Image
@DAlexBlumenthal
Research Assistant

👁 Image
Ian Jones
👁 Image
Send Email
Media Request

👁 Image
Lyman Ortkiese
👁 Image
202.934.0185 👁 Image
Send Email

Download Vcard

Bio & Experience

Dan Blumenthal is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he focuses on East Asian security issues and Sino-American relations. Mr. Blumenthal has served in and advised the US government on China issues for more than a decade.

Before joining AEI, Mr. Blumenthal served as senior director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia at the US Department of Defense. He served as a commissioner on the congressionally mandated US-China Economic and Security Review Commission from 2006 to 2012, and he was vice chairman of the commission in 2007. He also served on the Academic Advisory Board of the congressional US-China Working Group.

Mr. Blumenthal is the author of “The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State” (AEI Press, November 2020) and coauthor of “An Awkward Embrace: The United States and China in the 21st Century” (AEI Press, November 2012).

He has testified before Congress and has been published in The Atlantic, Commentary, Foreign Policy, The Hill, Los Angeles Times, The National Interest, National Review, The New York Post, The New York Times, Newsweek, RealClearWorld, and The Wall Street Journal, among other outlets. His broadcast appearances include C-SPAN, Yahoo News, Bloomberg Radio, and many top-rated talk radio programs.

Mr. Blumenthal has a JD from Duke Law School, an MA from the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University, and a BA from Washington University in St. Louis. He also attended Capital Normal University in Beijing, China, where he focused on Chinese language studies.

Experience

  • US Naval War College: John A. van Beuren Chair Distinguished Visiting Professor, 2014–present
  • Project 2049 Institute: Member, Board of Advisers, 2008–present
  • US-China Economic and Security Review Commission: Commissioner, 2006–12; Vice Chairman, 2007
  • Congressional US-China Working Group: Member, Academic Advisory Board, 2005–07
  • US Department of Defense: Senior Country Director for China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Mongolia, 2004; Country Director for China and Taiwan, 2002–04
  • Kelley Drye & Warren LLP: Associate, 2000–02
  • Washington Institute for Near East Policy: Researcher, 1994–96
Education

JD, Duke Law School
MA, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
BA, Washington University
Chinese language studies, Capital Normal University, Beijing, China

Latest Scholarship

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, April 3, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Frederick W. Kagan + Dan Blumenthal + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 3 Apr 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, March 27, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Alison O'Neil + et al. ON 27 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

Korean Peninsula Update, March 25, 2026

The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Amy Sinnenberg + et al. ON 25 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, March 20, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 22 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

Korean Peninsula Update, March 18, 2026

The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 18 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, March 13, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 13 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, April 3, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Frederick W. Kagan + Dan Blumenthal + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 3 Apr 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, March 27, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Alison O'Neil + et al. ON 27 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

Korean Peninsula Update, March 25, 2026

The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Amy Sinnenberg + et al. ON 25 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, March 20, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 22 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

Korean Peninsula Update, March 18, 2026

The transition amid a reduced emphasis on the US nuclear umbrella could create security gaps in deterrence credibility and impede transition timelines. North Korea may also test the new command structure through provocations following the transition.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Nicholas Carl + Alexis Turek + et al. ON 18 Mar 26

Article

Institute for the Study of War

China & Taiwan Update, March 13, 2026

The China & Taiwan Update is a joint product from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). The update supports the ISW–AEI Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, which assesses Chinese campaigns against Taiwan, examines alternative strategies for the United States and its allies to deter the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression, and—if necessary—defeat the People’s Liberation Army. The update focuses on the CCP’s paths to controlling Taiwan and cross–Taiwan Strait developments.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Alexis Turek + Luke Jacobus + et al. ON 13 Mar 26

Report

China’s Continental Conundrum: Nuclear Geopolitics and American Strategy in the Western Pacific

China may have already started wielding its growing nuclear power to transform the western Pacific into a Chinese lake and remake the world. But Washington still has an opportunity to reinforce its free-world alliance system, through which it defends an open international environment favorable to American interests.

BY Kyle Balzer + Dan Blumenthal ON 24 Jun 25

Report

American Enterprise Institute

From Coercion to Capitulation: How China Can Take Taiwan Without a War

A plausible pathway exists for the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to employ coercion on a mass scale to force the Republic of China government to accept Beijing’s demands without sparking a large regional war and without endangering the PRC’s global grand-strategic objectives.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Frederick W. Kagan + Jonathan Baumel + et al. ON 13 May 24

Report

American Enterprise Institute

China’s Technology Strategy: Leverage Before Growth

The US has done little to blunt Chinese predation, indirectly supporting it with money and technology. If the most innovative American companies lose intellectual property and market share without consequence, China will control more sectors of the global economy.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Derek Scissors ON 8 Jun 23

Report

American Enterprise Institute

China’s Three Roads to Controlling Taiwan

China seeks to gain full control of Taiwan through three distinct but interrelated campaigns: forceful persuasion, coercion, and compellence. American policy’s focus on compellence marginalizes strategies that counter China’s persuasion and coercion campaigns.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Frederick W. Kagan ON 13 Mar 23

Report

American Enterprise Institute

How China Views It: Sino-American Technology Competition

Greater output of final products does not improve supply-chain resilience. Manufacturing more with the same supply chains could even create more vulnerabilities. New policies must address full supply chains, not just the final stage.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Gregory Graff + Christian Curriden ON 20 Oct 22

Report

American Enterprise Institute

The US-China Global Vaccine Competition

Once vaccination at home is well along, the Joe Biden administration can subsidize international distribution of American vaccines. In addition to humanitarian motives, there is also an important foreign policy opportunity.

BY Derek Scissors + Dan Blumenthal + Linda Zhang ON 18 Feb 21

Event

Xi Jinping’s Search for a Lasting Legacy

Join AEI’s Derek Scissors and Dan Blumenthal, Stephen Ezell of the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation, and Dean Cheng of the US Institute of Peace for a discussion moderated by the German Marshall Fund’s Bonnie S. Glaser on what Xi could feasibly pursue as his lasting legacy.

BY Derek Scissors + Dan Blumenthal ON 9 Oct 24

Event

China’s Comprehensive Threat to American Security: A Conversation with Amb. Robert C. O’Brien

AEI’s Dan Blumenthal will lead a discussion with Amb. Robert C. O’Brien, the 27th United States national security adviser to former President Donald Trump, on how the next president should shape US grand strategy to counter the expanding scope of challenges posed by an increasingly aggressive China.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Robert Doar ON 16 Sep 24

Event

No Invasion Necessary: A Discussion of How China Can Employ a Coercion-Based Strategy to Take Taiwan Without a War

AEI’s Dan Blumenthal and Frederick W. Kagan, who direct the AEI–Institute for the Study of War Coalition Defense of Taiwan project, will lead a panel on why the US and our allies must take seriously the threat of a coercion-based strategy toward Taiwan, as highlighted in their new report, From Coercion to Capitulation: How China Can Take Taiwan Without a War.

BY Dan Blumenthal + Frederick W. Kagan + Kimberly Kagan ON 8 May 24

Event

Beyond the SCIF: A Conversation with Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-OH) on AI and Biosecurity

Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-OH) will lead a panel of experts to discuss how policymakers can combat the threats posed by these evolving technologies and the ways Congress could secure the AI and biotechnology fields.

BY Dan Blumenthal ON 29 Apr 24

Event

Assessing the Past Year of Defending Taiwan

To launch the book, please join AEI’s Kori Schake with AEI scholars Michael Beckley, Dan Blumenthal, and Mackenzie Eaglen to discuss how the past year has shaped America and Taiwan’s ability to defend the island from Chinese subjugation and what is needed moving forward.

BY Kori Schake + Michael Beckley + Dan Blumenthal + et al. ON 25 Aug 23

Event

A Conversation with Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK): Standing Up to China Means Standing with Taiwan

Join Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) and AEI’s Dan Blumenthal as they discuss Taiwan’s future, US-China competition, and American strategy for the Indo-Pacific.

BY Dan Blumenthal ON 1 Dec 22

Multimedia

Nebulous Media

China’s Nuclear Buildup: Dan Blumenthal and Kyle Balzer on “The School of War”

Dan Blumenthal and Kyle Balzer, co-authors of The True Aims of China’s Nuclear Buildup for Foreign Affairs, join the show to discuss the geopolitical implications of China’s increasing and diversifying nuclear arsenal. 

BY Kyle Balzer + Dan Blumenthal ON 24 Dec 24

Multimedia

Woodrow Wilson International Center

Taiwan and Its Partners Beyond the Silicon Shield

As Taiwan continues to dominate as the global leader in producing advanced semiconductors, the world literally cannot run without Taiwanese technology. At the same time, the geopolitical risks and pressures that Taipei face have only...

BY Dan Blumenthal ON 14 Mar 23

Podcast

WTH Is Happening with the Chinese Protests? Dan Blumenthal on Backlash Against the CCP’s Zero-Covid Policies

Xi Jinping’s long-lasting, draconian zero-Covid policy has resulted in the largest protests in China in more than 30 years. Tens of thousands of demonstrators are testing the government’s “perfect” police state by actively calling for...

BY Marc A. Thiessen + Danielle Pletka + Dan Blumenthal ON 7 Dec 22

Podcast

WTH Is the China Nightmare? Dan Blumenthal on the Threat of a Massively Armed and Decaying China, Covid and More

Dan Blumenthal, author of the newly released “The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State” joined the show to explain the threat posed by a decaying but aggressive China.

BY Danielle Pletka + Marc A. Thiessen + Dan Blumenthal ON 9 Dec 20

Podcast

Matt Lewis & the News

Dan Blumenthal on ‘The China Nightmare’

Dan Blumenthal, Director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, discusses his new book, The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a Decaying State, on political commentator Matt Lewis’s podcast. Listen here.

BY Dan Blumenthal ON 14 Nov 20

Podcast

Disinformation Pandemic: Russian and Chinese Information Operations in the COVID-19 Era

Was the COVID-19 virus produced in the US? Was it created by the US Army? So Moscow and Beijing would have you believe. Russia and China aggressively manipulate perceptions to achieve their own aims. Their...

BY Frederick W. Kagan + Dan Blumenthal + Zack Cooper ON 9 Jul 20

View More