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Decision-Making and Scenarios

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Decision-Making and Scenarios

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Gain insight into a topic and learn the fundamentals.
4.6

1,735 reviews

9 hours to complete
Flexible schedule
Learn at your own pace
92%
Most learners liked this course

Gain insight into a topic and learn the fundamentals.
4.6

1,735 reviews

9 hours to complete
Flexible schedule
Learn at your own pace
92%
Most learners liked this course

Build your subject-matter expertise

This course is part of the Business and Financial Modeling Specialization
When you enroll in this course, you'll also be enrolled in this Specialization.
  • Learn new concepts from industry experts
  • Gain a foundational understanding of a subject or tool
  • Develop job-relevant skills with hands-on projects
  • Earn a shareable career certificate

There are 4 modules in this course

This course is designed to show you how use quantitative models to transform data into better business decisions. You’ll learn both how to use models to facilitate decision-making and also how to structure decision-making for optimum results. Two of Wharton’s most acclaimed professors will show you the step-by-step processes of modeling common business and financial scenarios, so you can significantly improve your ability to structure complex problems and derive useful insights about alternatives. Once you’ve created models of existing realities, possible risks, and alternative scenarios, you can determine the best solution for your business or enterprise, using the decision-making tools and techniques you’ve learned in this course.

This module was designed to introduce you to the many potential criteria for selecting investment projects, and to explore the most effective of these criteria: Net Present Value (NPV). Through the use of concrete examples, you'll learn the key components of Net Present Value, including the time value of money and the cost of capital, the main utility of NPV, and why it is ultimately more accurate and useful for evaluating projects than other commonly used criteria. By the end of this module, you'll be able to explain why net present value analysis is the appropriate criteria for choosing whether to accept or reject a project, and why other criteria, such as IRR, payback, ROI, etc. may not lead to decisions which maximize value.

What's included

6 videos2 readings2 assignments

6 videosTotal 73 minutes
  • Course Introduction & Overview5 minutes
  • 1.1 Introduction: Criteria for Evaluating Projects6 minutes
  • 1.2 Time Value of Money19 minutes
  • 1.3 NPV Analysis of Projects17 minutes
  • 1.4 Other Evaluation Techniques15 minutes
  • 1.5 The Cost of Capital10 minutes
2 readingsTotal 20 minutes
  • PDFs of Lecture Slides10 minutes
  • Excel Spreadsheets: Module 110 minutes
2 assignmentsTotal 60 minutes
  • Evaluation Criteria: Module 1 Quiz30 minutes
  • Practice Quiz #130 minutes

In this module, you'll learn how to evaluate a project with emphasis on analyzing the incremental after-tax cash flows associated with the project. You'll work through a concrete example using alternative scenarios to test the effectiveness of this method. You'll also learn why only future cash flows are relevant, why to ignore financial costs, include all incidental effects, remember working capital requirements, consider the effect of taxes, forget sunk costs, remember opportunity costs, use expected cash flows, and perform sensitivity analysis. By the end of this module, you'll be able to evaluate projects more thoroughly and effectively, with emphasis on how to model the change in the company’s after-tax cash flows, so that you can make more profitable decisions.

What's included

5 videos1 reading2 assignments

5 videosTotal 63 minutes
  • 2.1 Introduction and Analyzing Incremental After-Tax Cash Flows - Initial Investment Phase12 minutes
  • 2.2 Analyzing Incremental After-Tax Flows - Operating Phase12 minutes
  • 2.3 Analyzing Incremental After-Tax Flows - Terminal Phase7 minutes
  • 2.4 Example: New Production Machine13 minutes
  • 2.5 Key Considerations in Evaluations19 minutes
1 readingTotal 10 minutes
  • PDFs of Lecture Slides10 minutes
2 assignmentsTotal 60 minutes
  • How to Evaluate Projects: Module 2 Quiz30 minutes
  • Practice Quiz #230 minutes

This module was designed to give you the opportunity to learn how business activities, transactions and events are translated into financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements. You'll also learn how these three statements are linked to each other, and how balance sheets and income statements can help forecast the future cash flow statements. By the end of this module, you'll be able to explain how accounting systems translate business activities into financial terms, and how to use this to better forecast future cash flows, so that you can express your business strategies in these financial terms, and show "the bottom line" for your proposed plan of action.

What's included

3 videos1 reading2 assignments

3 videosTotal 52 minutes
  • 3.1 Introduction to Financial Statements19 minutes
  • 3.2 Balance Sheets and Income Statements16 minutes
  • 3.3 Cash Flow Statements17 minutes
1 readingTotal 10 minutes
  • PDFs of Lecture Slides10 minutes
2 assignmentsTotal 60 minutes
  • Financial Statements and Forecasting: Module 3 Quiz30 minutes
  • Practice Quiz #330 minutes

In this module, you'll apply what you’ve been learning to an analysis of a new product venture. You’ll learn how to map out a plan of the business activities, transactions and events that need to happen to implement the new venture, including their timing. You'll also learn how to set up a spreadsheet to help with forecasts, and to re-calculate things automatically as we re-think our plans. You'll see how to forecast out the implied financial statements, and calculate the Net Present Value (NPV). By the end of this module, you'll be able to use spreadsheets to explore different risks a venture may face, and analyze the implications of these scenarios for NPV, so that you can make the most profitable, data-driven decision possible.

What's included

6 videos2 readings2 assignments

6 videosTotal 51 minutes
  • 4.1 Introduction and Speadsheet Setup8 minutes
  • 4.2 Forecasting Future Cash Flows11 minutes
  • 4.3 NPV and IRR Calculations6 minutes
  • 4.4 Formulation and Evaluation of Alternative Scenarios16 minutes
  • 4.5 Expanding Beyond the Time Horizon10 minutes
  • Course Conclusion0 minutes
2 readingsTotal 20 minutes
  • PDFs of Lecture Slides10 minutes
  • Excel Spreadsheets: Module 410 minutes
2 assignmentsTotal 60 minutes
  • Calculating Value: Module 4 Quiz30 minutes
  • Practice Quiz #430 minutes

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Instructors

Instructor ratings
4.8 (90 ratings)
University of Pennsylvania
3 Courses98,421 learners

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Learner reviews

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Showing 3 of 1735

MS
·

Reviewed on Sep 23, 2017

It is a nice course for those who want to revisit the concepts of NPV, IRR and those who want to understand about Financial Planning / Financial Modeling.

SL
·

Reviewed on Oct 28, 2020

This course was great! It would be great to have more series covering the same topic that allows us students to practice building such models step by step

AJ
·

Reviewed on Feb 16, 2019

This is a solid course on financial decision making. Highly recommended for those who work in operations management and on strategic initiatives and projects.

Frequently asked questions

To access the course materials, assignments and to earn a Certificate, you will need to purchase the Certificate experience when you enroll in a course. You can try a Free Trial instead, or apply for Financial Aid. The course may offer 'Full Course, No Certificate' instead. This option lets you see all course materials, submit required assessments, and get a final grade. This also means that you will not be able to purchase a Certificate experience.

When you enroll in the course, you get access to all of the courses in the Specialization, and you earn a certificate when you complete the work. Your electronic Certificate will be added to your Accomplishments page - from there, you can print your Certificate or add it to your LinkedIn profile.

Yes. In select learning programs, you can apply for financial aid or a scholarship if you can’t afford the enrollment fee. If fin aid or scholarship is available for your learning program selection, you’ll find a link to apply on the description page.

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