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Quarterly Forecasts

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

Mar 30, 2026 | 00:00 GMT

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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SITUATION REPORTS

Ecuador: Authorities Declare New State of Emergency in Nine Provinces

Apr 3, 2026 | 18:51 GMT

China: Ma Xingrui Investigated, Most Politburo Members Purged Since 1977

Apr 3, 2026 | 17:04 GMT

Kenya: Government To Prioritize Local Processing in Tender for Major Critical Mineral Project

Apr 3, 2026 | 17:03 GMT

Rwanda: Kagame Lambasts Congo Over Collaboration With FDLR, Pouring Cold Water on 2025 Peace Deal

Apr 3, 2026 | 16:59 GMT

Iran: Tehran Preparing Protocol for Overseeing Strait of Hormuz

Apr 3, 2026 | 16:52 GMT

Australia: Cyclone Narelle Disrupts LNG and Mining at Inopportune Time

Apr 3, 2026 | 16:49 GMT

Israel, Egypt: Israel Resumes Operations at Leviathan Gas Field, Restarting Exports to Egypt

Apr 3, 2026 | 15:34 GMT

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Wants Israeli Troops To Withdraw Before Disarmament

Apr 3, 2026 | 14:51 GMT

U.S., Iran: U.S. Attacks Iranian Bridge, Iran Hits Oracle Data Center in Dubai

Apr 2, 2026 | 21:06 GMT

U.S.: Trump Orders Changes to Steel, Copper and Aluminum Tariff Regime, Authorizes New Pharmaceutical Tariffs

Apr 2, 2026 | 21:01 GMT
AssessmentsApr 4, 2026
The Weekly Rundown: The Iran War Continues, Taiwan's KMT Restarts China Talks
AssessmentsApr 3, 2026
Geopolitical Calendar
AssessmentsApr 2, 2026
A New Leader in Japan and an Old Feud With China
AssessmentsApr 2, 2026
U.S. Naval Update Map: April 2, 2026
AssessmentsApr 1, 2026
The Taiwanese Opposition's Plan To Revive Talks With China Will Likely Backfire
AssessmentsApr 1, 2026
Hungary's Upcoming Elections May Unseat Orban After 16 Years
AssessmentsMar 31, 2026
How the U.S.'s Anti-China Strategy for Latin America Could Unfold
On GeopoliticsMar 31, 2026
The Geopolitics of Natural Resources: An Introduction
AssessmentsMar 30, 2026
The Implications of the Houthis Joining the Iran War
AssessmentsMar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt
AssessmentsMar 28, 2026
The Weekly Rundown: The Iran War Continues, a European Parliament Delegation Visits China
PodcastsMar 28, 2026
The Decision Advantage: The Impact of the Iran War on the Asia-Pacific Region
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