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Concept in financial mathematics

In financial mathematics, a risk measure assigns a numerical value to the risk associated with a financial position or portfolio. In financial management and insurance, risk measures are often used to determine capital reserve requirements to mitigate downside risk to make it acceptable to regulators. In recent years attention has turned to convex and coherent risk measurement.

Mathematical Description

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A risk measure is defined as a mapping from a set of random variables to the real numbers. Depending on context, the random variables may represent portfolio returns or insurance losses. In the former case, risk is associated with the left tail of the distribution, while in the latter it is associated with the right tail.

The common notation for a risk measure associated with a random variable πŸ‘ {\displaystyle X}
is πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho (X)}
. A risk measure πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho :{\mathcal {L}}\to \mathbb {R} \cup \{+\infty \}}
should have certain properties:[1]

Normalized
πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho (0)=0}
Translative
πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \mathrm {If} \;a\in \mathbb {R} \;\mathrm {and} \;Z\in {\mathcal {L}},\;\mathrm {then} \;\rho (Z+a)=\rho (Z)-a}
Monotone
πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \mathrm {If} \;Z_{1},Z_{2}\in {\mathcal {L}}\;\mathrm {and} \;Z_{1}\leq Z_{2},\;\mathrm {then} \;\rho (Z_{2})\leq \rho (Z_{1})}

Set-valued

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In a situation with πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} ^{d}}
-valued portfolios such that risk can be measured in πŸ‘ {\displaystyle m\leq d}
of the assets, then a set of portfolios is the proper way to depict risk. Set-valued risk measures are useful for markets with transaction costs.[2]

Mathematically

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A set-valued risk measure is a function πŸ‘ {\displaystyle R:L_{d}^{p}\rightarrow \mathbb {F} _{M}}
, where πŸ‘ {\displaystyle L_{d}^{p}}
is a πŸ‘ {\displaystyle d}
-dimensional Lp space, πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \mathbb {F} _{M}=\{D\subseteq M:D=cl(D+K_{M})\}}
, and πŸ‘ {\displaystyle K_{M}=K\cap M}
where πŸ‘ {\displaystyle K}
is a constant solvency cone and πŸ‘ {\displaystyle M}
is the set of portfolios of the πŸ‘ {\displaystyle m}
reference assets. πŸ‘ {\displaystyle R}
must have the following properties:[3]

Normalized
πŸ‘ {\displaystyle K_{M}\subseteq R(0){\text{ and }}R(0)\cap -\operatorname {int} K_{M}=\emptyset }
Translative in M
πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \forall X\in L_{d}^{p},\forall u\in M:R(X+u1)=R(X)-u}
Monotone
πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \forall X_{2}-X_{1}\in L_{d}^{p}(K)\Rightarrow R(X_{2})\supseteq R(X_{1})}

Examples

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Variance

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Variance (or standard deviation) is not a risk measure in the above sense. This can be seen since it has neither the translation property nor monotonicity. That is, πŸ‘ {\displaystyle Var(X+a)=Var(X)\neq Var(X)-a}
for all πŸ‘ {\displaystyle a\in \mathbb {R} }
, and a simple counterexample for monotonicity can be found. The standard deviation is a deviation risk measure. To avoid any confusion, note that deviation risk measures, such as variance and standard deviation are sometimes called risk measures in different fields.

Relation to acceptance set

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There is a one-to-one correspondence between an acceptance set and a corresponding risk measure. As defined below it can be shown that πŸ‘ {\displaystyle R_{A_{R}}(X)=R(X)}
and πŸ‘ {\displaystyle A_{R_{A}}=A}
.[5]

Risk measure to acceptance set

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Acceptance set to risk measure

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Relation with deviation risk measure

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There is a one-to-one relationship between a deviation risk measure D and an expectation-bounded risk measure πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho }
where for any πŸ‘ {\displaystyle X\in {\mathcal {L}}^{2}}

πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho }
is called expectation bounded if it satisfies πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho (X)>\mathbb {E} [-X]}
for any nonconstant X and πŸ‘ {\displaystyle \rho (X)=\mathbb {E} [-X]}
for any constant X.[6]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Artzner, Philippe; Delbaen, Freddy; Eber, Jean-Marc; Heath, David (1999). "Coherent Measures of Risk" (PDF). Mathematical Finance. 9 (3): 203–228. doi:10.1111/1467-9965.00068. S2CID 6770585. Retrieved February 3, 2011.
  2. ^ Jouini, Elyes; Meddeb, Moncef; Touzi, Nizar (2004). "Vector–valued coherent risk measures". Finance and Stochastics. 8 (4): 531–552. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.721.6338. doi:10.1007/s00780-004-0127-6. S2CID 18237100.
  3. ^ Hamel, A. H.; Heyde, F. (2010). "Duality for Set-Valued Measures of Risk". SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics. 1 (1): 66–95. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.514.8477. doi:10.1137/080743494.
  4. ^ Jokhadze, Valeriane; Schmidt, Wolfgang M. (March 2020). "Measuring model risk in financial risk management and pricing". International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance. 23 (2) 2050012. doi:10.1142/s0219024920500120. SSRN 3113139.
  5. ^ Andreas H. Hamel; Frank Heyde; Birgit Rudloff (2011). "Set-valued risk measures for conical market models". Mathematics and Financial Economics. 5 (1): 1–28. arXiv:1011.5986. doi:10.1007/s11579-011-0047-0. S2CID 154784949.
  6. ^ Rockafellar, Tyrrell; Uryasev, Stanislav; Zabarankin, Michael (22 January 2003). "Deviation Measures in Risk Analysis and Optimization". SSRN 365640.

Further reading

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