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The CSIS Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program collaborates with the International Security Program, Middle East Program, Africa Program, and more to provide analysis on irregular and hybrid warfare, terrorist violence, and military operations.
Photo: Eyad Baba/AFP/Getty Images
The United States and Israel are devastating Iran's leadership and inflicting significant damage on Iran's already-weak military. Iran, however, is hitting back, and the biggest long-term costs to the United States are likely to be felt outside the Middle East.
Commentary by Daniel Byman — April 2, 2026
Commentary by Daniel Byman — March 19, 2026
Commentary by Daniel Byman — March 11, 2026
Transcript — March 4, 2026
Photo: CSIS
Photo: Kostiantyn Liberov/Libkos/Getty Images
Photo: CSIS
Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
Photo: CSIS
Photo: CSIS
The United States and Israel are devastating Iran's leadership and inflicting significant damage on Iran's already-weak military. Iran, however, is hitting back, and the biggest long-term costs to the United States are likely to be felt outside the Middle East.
Commentary by Daniel Byman — April 2, 2026
Even as Israel and the United States fight in Lebanon, Israel is also in a major war with Hezbollah—a war designed to keep the group weak and off balance.
Commentary by Daniel Byman — March 19, 2026
Even after the latest war with Iran ends, lower-level hostilities between Iran and Israel—and perhaps the United States—might continue.
Commentary by Daniel Byman — March 11, 2026
The CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department invites you to a live episode of State of Play on the lessons from regime change operations in the Middle East and beyond.
Event — March 4, 2026
The CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department unpack the lessons from regime change operations in the Middle East and beyond.
Transcript — March 4, 2026
Early in the morning of February 27, Pakistan’s defense minister announced “open war” between Pakistan and the Taliban, a group that Islamabad frequently backed in its 30-year quest to rule Afghanistan.
Critical Questions by Alexander Palmer and Alexander Margolis — February 27, 2026
This morning, a suicide bomber attacked a Shia mosque in Islamabad, Pakistan. The most likely perpetrator is the Islamic State–Khorasan Province, which operates both in Afghanistan and Pakistan but has a significant interest in mass-casualty international attacks.
Critical Questions by Alexander Palmer and Alexander Margolis — February 6, 2026
Despite claims of success in Ukraine, new CSIS data shows that Russia is paying an extraordinary price for minimal gains.
Event — January 30, 2026
A short, spoken-word summary from CSIS’s Seth G. Jones and Riley McCabe on their brief, “Russian’s Grinding War in Ukraine.”
Podcast Episode by Seth G. Jones and Riley McCabe — January 30, 2026
Despite claims of success in Ukraine, new CSIS data shows that Russia is paying an extraordinary price for minimal gains, with over 1.2 million casualties. Russia is also in decline as a major economic power with slow growth, weak productivity, and declining manufacturing.
Brief by Seth G. Jones and Riley McCabe — January 27, 2026
